Q-Poll: Hillary Beats All Comers
by Ryan Sager
Thu, 5 Apr 2007 at 10:53 AM
updated Thu, 5 Apr 2007 at 10:54 AM
In the latest Quinnipiac University Poll, released this morning, Hillary Clinton beats all comers — both in the Democratic primary and in the general election. Rudy Giuliani comes closest among Republicans to keeping pace with New York's junior senator, losing by only 50%-42%.
In the Democratic primary, Mrs. Clinton leads with 44% of the vote. Not so hot on her heels are Barack Obama and Al Gore (not, ostensibly, running), tied at 14%. John Edwards brings up the rear at 9%.
On the Republican side, Mr. Giuliani leads with a hearty 52% of the vote. John McCain comes in second with 13%. George Pataki registers a rather surprising 6%, apparently among Republicans who have suffered recent head injuries. Mitt Romney comes in at 4%, with Fred Thompson hot on his heels at 3% (hey, the guy's a New York City DA — he's got a base here).
Perhaps of some interest is how the various players have moved since the last Q-Poll of New York state in February. There's hasn't been a ton of movement, truth be told, but there are a few data points probably worth looking at:
* On the Democratic side, Mrs. Clinton is down three points, Mr. Gore is up three points. Not a huge move for either, but perhaps it's a bit surprising that a candidate who isn't running is moving up in the polls. Newt Gingrich, who holds a similar old-dog-considering-learning-new-tricks position in the GOP, has been fading in the polls, as there's no great appetite to draft him. Is there a bigger appetite to draft Mr. Gore among Democrats?
* On the Republican side, Mr. McCain lost 4 points. That's emblematic of a rough couple of months for the senator.
* Also on the Republican side, as Mr. Romney and Mr. Thompson have gained slightly, Mr. Gingrich has fallen to 3% from 6%. This is part of the general downward drift Mr. Gingrich has seen as other potential "conservative savior" candidates have emerged.
Overall, of course, the main lesson from this poll is that other candidate won't be wasting their time in New York. It's the Rudy and Hillary show here. And the early (February 5) primary is going to help both of these candidates tremendously.
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