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Prediction Market: Fred Up, Rudy Down

by Ryan Sager
Wed, 30 May 2007 at 5:59 PM

updated Wed, 30 May 2007 at 6:05 PM

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In the InTrade prediction market, Fred Thompson has jumped to $25.00, from $22.00. This is just shy of Rudy Giuliani's $25.60. It puts Mr. Thompson ahead of Mitt Romney, with a price of $23.00.

John McCain is down at $17.60.

Of course this is all just a bit silly. But it matches up pretty well with my own take on the state of the race: McCain by far the least likely nominee, Giuliani the most likely, the other two in the order they're in. I'd probably put a lot more distance between Thompson and Giuliani. But we're all just guessing, now aren't we?

Related Topics: GOP Primary

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