ARG: Giuliani Up in All Three Early States
by Ryan Sager
Tue, 31 Jul 2007 at 1:36 PM
updated Tue, 31 Jul 2007 at 1:38 PM
American Research Group has a new set of polls on IA, NH, and SC. On the Republican side, one headline is clear: Rudy Giuliani is up in all three states. As is another: The bottom has fallen out of John McCain's support in New Hampshire and South Carolina, where he's down 11 and 13 points respectively since June:
(movement since June +/- in parentheses)
IA:
Giuliani: 22% (+4)
Romney: 21% (-4)
McCain: 17% (+4)
Thompson: 13% (-1)
NH:
Giuliani: 27% (+8)
Romney: 26% (-1)
Thompson: 13% (+3)
McCain: 10% (-11)
SC:
Giuliani: 28% (+6)
Thompson: 27% (+8)
McCain: 10% (-13)
Romney: 7% (-1)
As John Podhoretz notes, Mr. Giuliani's early state weakness (always exaggerated) has long been a staple of "Rudy can't win" commentary. Well, with Mr. Giuliani essentially tied for the lead in each of the three early states, that argument starts to look slightly implausible.
Related Topics: GOP Primary, Poll Analysis
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