Bloomberg: Not a Hometown Favorite
by Ryan Sager
Wed, 25 Jul 2007 at 12:29 PM
updated Wed, 25 Jul 2007 at 12:35 PM
Don't start printing up the Bloomberg for President bumper stickers quite yet. A Quinnipiac poll out today finds that even in New York City — where voters know Mr. Bloomberg about as well as they could, and like Mr. Bloomberg about as well as they could (he has 73% job approval) — 57% say they "probably" or "definitely" wouldn't vote for him. Only 34% say they "probably" or "definitely" would vote for him.
Let those numbers sink in as the Bloomberg for president hysteria continues daily. Even in what should be the stronghold of our technocratic, smoking-banning, gay-marriage-supporting, Bermuda-jetting-off-to, trans-fat-meddling mayor, he gets... about a third of the vote. This is not a guy who can run a credible national campaign. Not for all the money in the world.
Also, these numbers strengthen my case that Mr. Bloomberg, if he makes a run (no matter how doomed), will hurt Republicans significantly more than he will hurt Democrats. Look at Question 11: 19% of Republicans in New York City say they would definitely vote for Mr. Bloomberg; only 9% of Democrats say the same. Meanwhile, 31% of Democrats say they would "probably not" vote for Mr. Bloomberg, while only 17% of Republicans say the same. (There's a tie among Republicans and Democrats, at 35%, as to those who would "definitely not" vote for the mayor.)
Unsurprisingly, the mayor does best with Independents. Some 44% say they would probably or definitely vote for the mayor, versus 45% who say the opposite.
Related Topics: Poll Analysis
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