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The Gallup Rule

by Ryan Sager
Tue, 7 Aug 2007 at 2:41 PM

updated Tue, 7 Aug 2007 at 2:43 PM

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I don't know the rule Rich Lowry is referencing, but here's what he has to say:

Giuliani & Gallup [Rich Lowry]

I forget the exact rule, but I believe in recent memory pretty much every Republican leading in the Gallup poll a year out from the convention has won the nomination. The year-out mark is in about a month and Rudy is still holding a solid lead in Gallup. Fwiw...

08/07 02:00 PM

I think these types of rules are pretty worthless — the data set's too small, etc. etc. — but, as Rich said, fwiw.

Related Topics: GOP Primary

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