Sure is nice to make grand pronouncements with zero backup. Kind of frees you from the responsibility of accurate data. I notice how you say there is no evidence to discount your "estimate". Unless you count blogs written by other people who don't back up there assertions with data, it seems there is no evidence to support your "esimate" either.
Your argument would be more convincing and compelling if you would cite your sources. Otherwise I could just tell you that it is aliens or the clone of Hitler who is causing all the problems. While I have nothing to back up either assertion, it would be just as valid as your argument. See my point?
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