New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary Analysis - Reader comments at The New York Sun

Submitted by Stephen Giles, Aug 24, 2007 17:50

I believe your assessment of the New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary is way off. You claim that Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani are running even in the race for the nomination in New Hampshire. Of the last four polls done on the New Hampshire Primary, the American Research Group poll that shows Giuliani even with Mitt Romney is the anomaly. ARG did a poll in Iowa July 26-30, which supposedly showed Rudy Giuliani leading Mitt Romney 22-21%. That was out of step with the ABC poll and the Research 2000 poll, both that showed him with a double-digit lead. The credibility of ARG is most definitely in question. All of the other polls in the state of New Hampshire, Rasmussen, Hart-McLaughlin, and CNN/WMUR, show that Romney has a comfortable lead of at least 12%. New Hampshire is a state that borders Massachusetts, sharing various media markets, and because of its more conservative voting trends, Mitt Romney has the upper hand in name recognition and New England rapport with the voting base. Mitt Romney for all of the above reasons is in as good of a position to win New Hampshire as he is to win Iowa.

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Other reader comments on this article

Comment	By	Date
Anyone that thinks Romney will use the presidency as some bullhorn from which to evangelize his mormon faith is crazy.... [MORE]	sloagm	Aug 26, 2007 17:05
No matter how Romney dodges the issue the fact remains that the US is not ready to elect a mormon.... [MORE]	rev graham jones	Aug 25, 2007 03:07
What about the southern baptist cult and what does it say about your judgement? [MORE]	Jim Allmon	Aug 26, 2007 10:06
The Rev Jones is apparently not walking in the light; quite the contrary, he's fumbling around in the shadows along... [MORE]	Verne Arnold	Aug 26, 2007 12:00
You would disqualify an American that has strong, traditional family values and truly high, clean-cut morals because he is of... [MORE]	John in FL	Aug 26, 2007 18:25
Call from Romeny not returned because Ryan Sager is a proven Anti-Mormon bigot with a huge bias . . .... [MORE]	Steve	Aug 25, 2007 02:47
Steve may want to consider that Sager is not so much Anti-Mormon as pro-Giuliani. It reminds me of how Obama recently... [MORE]	Sean	Aug 27, 2007 19:57
I'm not sure what polls Mr. Sager could possibly be going by. Romney is not running "neck in neck" with... [MORE]	Valerie Bellis	Aug 24, 2007 20:15
After 31 years in the Military, I can say something about Gov Mitt Romney: Strategic Thinker, been #1 at everything,... [MORE]	ralph	Aug 24, 2007 22:58
it is the mormon thing. it is also the case that he has not focused on south carolina as much... [MORE]	chad	Aug 24, 2007 19:02
Mr. Sager might wish to check his facts when he states that Governor Romney is running neck and neck with... [MORE]	Randy Brown	Aug 24, 2007 18:58
The reason Romney is behind in South Carolina is pure and simple - his Mormonism. Not for being slick, certainly... [MORE]	rbp	Aug 24, 2007 18:53
Do you actually do research before you write? In 3 of the last 4 polls in NH, Romney is AHEAD... [MORE]	Bill Mitchell	Aug 24, 2007 18:25
I believe your assessment of the New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary is way off. You claim that Mitt Romney and...	Stephen Giles	Aug 24, 2007 17:50
I may not live in South Carolina, but Mitt has my vote. Ironic that the only Republican contender who has... [MORE]	Hannah Katz	Aug 24, 2007 17:36
Nobody really cares seriously about the SC primary. It is a small state with an extremely conservative political base. They... [MORE]	John in FL	Aug 26, 2007 18:07
There is something, well, creepy about Mitt Romney. Whether it springs from his Mormon faith (a very real possibility), or... [MORE]	Last Man Thinking	Aug 24, 2007 17:15
Last Man Thinking's obvious bigotry shows through in his comments--which are not very well thought out. Romney has not invested... [MORE]	CW in Florida	Aug 27, 2007 13:44
The palmetto State has been a tougher place for Mitt to gain traction, but his trend line reflected by all... [MORE]	Bill	Aug 24, 2007 16:39
Mr. Sager's article on Mitt Romney in S. Carolina states Romney is, "Neck and neck with Giulanni in New Hamphire."... [MORE]	T. Farley	Aug 24, 2007 16:38