Will Trump Take Inflation Seriously?
Only he has the force of personality to move the task of monetary reform to the center of the national debate.

President Trump, weâd like to think, is starting to take seriously the risk to his presidency posed by inflation. âWeâre fighting every day to get the prices down,â he averred today at the White House. âWe have to get the prices down, not the inflation down, the prices down,â he added. That appears to reflect the realization that even as the rate of inflation has slowed from its peak under President Biden, itâs the cumulative impact of price increases that rankles.
This is a good moment to mark the mistake of 1953 as President Eisenhower took office. He ran on a platform of restoring the gold standard, abrogated by FDR some 20 years before. The GOP call was met with a condescending editorial in Barronâs warning that the gold standard âwas not a game of solitaireâ and that America had to wait for global economic stability. âWhen, if ever, will all the world have a stable economy?â was the Wall Street Journalâs reply.
In the end, Ike never did follow through on the gold pledge. The lesson then was that, as the Journal foresaw, restoring the dollarâs gold backing â its convertibility on demand for a fixed weight of the monetary metal â was real reform. Today, Mr. Trump has a chance to lead on the inflation challenge by moving on monetary reform. After all, the root cause of todayâs price inflation is the fiat currency regime that in the 1970s ended the dollarâs link to gold.
While itâs a positive step for Mr. Trump to acknowledge inflationâs persistence, missing from his remarks was any mention of gold. Itâs no coincidence that as prices surged some 20 percent under President Bidenâs tenure, the gold value of the dollar was collapsing. In recent weeks the dollar sank below a 2,900th of an ounce of gold, the true measure of monetary value. No wonder that it takes more and more of our debased dollars to purchase goods and services.
By contrast, prices were steady under the gold standard. Between 1792 and 1913, prices in America rose by but 0.2 percent a year, on average. Thatâs partly a result of the discipline of gold convertibility, which constrained prices around the dollarâs fixed value in gold. In the fiat money era, prices only move in one direction â higher. Even if the pace of inflation slows, the prices donât fall. Hence Mr. Trumpâs lament today that âthe inflation is stopping slowly.â
Mr. Trump pins the blame in part on âhigh interest rates and other problems we inherited.â These include his predecessorâs policies of overspending, overregulating, and overtaxing. At the same time, from the vantage point of the voters, the ownership of that problem shifted on January 20 to Mr. Trump. Reuters says inflation motivated 58 percent of voters on November 5, yet only 32 percent now approve of Mr. Trumpâs job on the issue. Thatâs shocking.
Consumer confidence, too, is slipping, in part based on fears over price increases. The presidentâs remarks â along with measures to curb the price of eggs â suggest that he grasps the gravity of inflation. Has Mr. Trump learned from Eisenhowerâs mistake in 1953? If so, that could be the opening for a long-overdue campaign for monetary reform. A good starting point would be a commission to weigh the record of Americaâs move to fiat money.
Mr. Trump has already committed to joining Elon Muskâs visit to Fort Knox âto see if the gold is still there.â Verifying that fact could prove a step, if only a step, on the path toward restoring the dollarâs convertibility into gold at a rate fixed by law. One doesnât want to understate the scale of the challenge. Restoring a gold standard would require, among other things, balancing budgets and slimming trade deficits. Yet itâs the surest way to defeat inflation.
The reason we keep banging on about the chance for monetary reform is that we think Mr. Trump has the force of personality and the savvy to take on the countryâs biggest issue. Itâs a titanic issue in its own right, and itâs the one that voters care about the most, per the polls during the campaign. Can Mr. Trump rise to the occasion? It would require strategic speeches in the months ahead to rally public opinion, and the Congress that holds the monetary powers.