Poll: Most Think Election Won’t Be Over Nov. 3

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The New York Sun

WASHINGTON – Memories of Florida’s contested 2000 presidential election and a growing number of pre-election lawsuits are making Americans skeptical about a voting process they once took for granted.


Six in 10 of those surveyed in an Associated Press poll say it’s likely there will not be a clear winner in the presidential race by November 3 – the day after the election. About half say they fear the results will be challenged in court, according to the poll conducted for the AP by Ipsos Public Affairs.


Both Democrats and Republicans worry about the possibility of an unresolved election – though Democrats express more worries. About seven in 10 Democratic voters, 69%, say they think it’s likely there won’t be a clear winner by Election Day, while almost six in 10 Republican voters, 56%, say they feel that way.


With both political parties putting thousands of lawyers on call for Election Day, a majority of both Democrats and Republicans – just over half of each – expect the election results will be challenged in court.


A Kerry spokesman, Joe Lockhart, said yesterday during a conference call: “Our operating assumption is that there will be a clear winner. The six-in-10 number is a reaction to coverage to some of the shenanigans that are going on. I expect the six-in-10 number to go down and not go up before Election Day.”


The Bush campaign’s top lawyer, Tom Josefiak, said recently that “it may takes days or weeks” after November 2 to determine the winner because of absentee ballots and other questions.


“I read the other day that there’s going to be a perfect storm,” said Jack Martin, a businessman who lives near Salt Lake City, of the growing number of lawsuits. “I think it’s coming down to the courts. It worries me about our election system. I used to think every vote counts.”


Both parties already have filed lawsuits over a variety of complaints – from how provisional ballots are counted to alleged fraud in voter registration. Judges in several states have issued disparate rulings on provisional ballots, which are required under law for voters who show up at the polls only to find their names are not on the voter rolls.


Worries about politics and legal challenges far outweigh worries about terrorist attacks intended to disrupt the elections, the poll found.


Just under one-third of those polled say they expect terrorists will attempt to disrupt elections.


Almost half in the poll say having armed police at the polls would make them more inclined to vote, while about one in six say it would make them less inclined. Minority voters were more likely than whites to say armed police would make them less inclined to vote.


The AP-Ipsos poll of 1,000 adults, including 856 registered voters and 670 likely voters, was taken October 22 to 24 and has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points.


The New York Sun

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