Rove’s Political Gain

This article is from the archive of The New York Sun before the launch of its new website in 2022. The Sun has neither altered nor updated such articles but will seek to correct any errors, mis-categorizations or other problems introduced during transfer.

The New York Sun

Let’s put the hyperbole around Karl Rove’s departure into perspective. Mr. Rove was a political consultant for the president, nothing more, nothing less.

As a political consultant, he ventured into unfamiliar territory. Unlike most successful campaign consultants, Mr. Rove opted to do something that most savvy ones avoid like the plague: going into the building.

Typically, it’s better for a consultant, financially and otherwise, to stay out of the White House, the governor’s Mansion, or City Hall. It’s also better for government. That way, the consultant can be an outside counterweight to what the people in the building think. When the consultant stays inside for too long, as Mr. Rove did, everyone is hurt, including the man whom he was supposed to help, President Bush.

In an era when technology can help identify voters and get them out on Election Day, Mr. Rove offered one great practical innovation to the GOP. Instead of worrying so much about voters in the middle, Mr. Rove thought he could win elections by making sure that the people who were already inclined to support conservative policies actually voted. The coalition of “compassionate conservatives” Mr. Rove tried to build prior to the 2000 election fizzled amidst an ugly contested election. His efforts to draw large numbers of Hispanic and Arab-American voters into the party failed to bear fruit. In 2002 and 2004, this meant both an especially sharp-edged approach to Democrats and a focus on the most partisan voters. In swing states, such as Nevada, Mr. Rove’s minions concentrated on constructing a “Get Out the Vote” machine that could rival or even surpass Democrats.

Churches that had never been targeted by Republican outreach came out in droves for Republicans. Voters in the conservative, rural parts of the state appeared to emerge out of the ether. Mr. Bush won an unheard of 90% of the vote. Actual results in 2002 and 2004 tracked better than polling data suggested, one reason why the 2006 results were such a shock to the White House.

Yet while Mr. Rove succeeded in reelecting Mr. Bush in 2004 and maintaining Republican control of the House and Senate, his strategy failed to suit a wartime president. In a jarring case of juxtaposition, Mr. Rove’s electoral tactics ran completely contrary to what a nation at war needs or what his client, a wartime president, required.

A nation facing an external enemy needs domestic comity. And while there’s no question that a very vocal anti-war movement would have emerged however Mr. Bush had sold and executed his foreign policy, it’s also true that Mr. Rove’s approach made things worse, not better. The natural instincts of all political consultants, who think in terms of the next election cycle, are to exploit current events for political advantage, defuse bad news, and delay harsh realities for another day. Mr. Rove demonstrated these traits in the extreme in recent years. In most recent cases, such thinking works to the advantage of elected officials and political candidates. But in the case of Mr. Rove, for President Bush and for the War on Terror, these instincts backfired. It was Mr. Bush’s job not just to animate supporters and others to come out and vote for him in 2004. His presidential obligation also involved preparing American voters for the possibility of a long and difficult struggle not only in Iraq, but also in the other venues, such as Afghanistan.

Mr. Bush certainly spoke of the importance of the fight in Iraq from 2003 and on. Less present in his earlier war rhetoric was the acknowledgement that the war might not be easy and would take time. When difficult events did occur in the Iraqi theater, these facts failed to gibe with the expectations of the American people. If Mr. Rove had urged President Bush to do the counterintuitive thing, such as talking about the tough realities of a long war, his boss might be in less trouble today.

A political adviser typically seeks to distance his or her boss from problems, to minimize the scope of a problem so that it does not grow. Here, again, traditional political thinking worked at cross-purposes of what the facts called for. It’s been noted repeatedly that the burden of the Iraq war falls mostly on the men and women fighting in it and their families. The broader public is not as engaged in this war as it was for World War II with its war bonds, metal collection, or other simple acts.

This circumstance has developed despite the present desire of the American people to help our soldiers, sailors, and marines. Prior to Memorial Day, CVS stores encouraged customers to purchase extra sunscreen to help service men and women who would soon be sweltering in the Iraqi summer.

Later in the summer, Starbucks’ stores allowed customers to buy coffee by the pound, which it would send to American GIs along with handwritten notes of thanks from latte lovers.

The bulk of Americans would have and would still do more to help even now if asked. Sadly, that’s not what Mr. Rove’s tenure was about. He sought what all political consultants want — short-term political gain — but what made it troubling was that it came when the country needed something more, and we all are the worse for it.

Mr. Gitell (gitell.com) is a contributing editor of The New York Sun.


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