Sweet 16 Is Oozing With NBA-Ready Talent

This article is from the archive of The New York Sun before the launch of its new website in 2022. The Sun has neither altered nor updated such articles but will seek to correct any errors, mis-categorizations or other problems introduced during transfer.

The New York Sun

No, we won’t see any more of Kevin Durant this March. But fear not — the remaining NCAA Tournament action should still be filled with future NBA stars. Besides that one exception, nearly all the top-rated collegians will be taking part in the regional semifinals tomorrow and Friday, with a chance to greatly improve (or diminish) their draft stock against other toplevel talent.

Of course this is only of immediate interest if said players declare for the upcoming draft. Most players who have a good chance of being first-round picks (resulting in a guaranteed three-year deal) take the money and run, but there are exceptions. Last year, for instance, three Florida players — center Joakim Noah, forward Al Horford, and guard Corey Brewer — were likely lottery picks, but all three opted to come back for another go. In Noah’s case, he would have been the top overall pick and he still opted to return.

Some wonder if Durant will be another Noah. There’s no doubt that he’s NBA ready in terms of talent, but he may want another year of college life before he goes off to the real world. Had Greg Oden’s Ohio State team ended its season with a disappointing upset loss to Xavier — something that was a last-second shot away from happening — then he might have had similar thoughts.

Nonetheless, all these players will turn pro eventually — and many will do so immediately. So let’s take a look at this weekend’s action through NBA-colored glasses and focus on the best prospects:

NOAH, HORFORD, AND BREWER, FLORIDA: Noah would have been no. 1 a year ago, but in this year’s loaded draft he might not crack the top five. His energy and enthusiasm are obvious pluses, but some are wondering if he’s little more than an Anderson Varejao clone, especially after a slightly disappointing regular season. Personally, I see some skills that set him apart from the typical NBA “energy guy” — most notably his ability to dribble and pass.

That said, Horford has passed him in the eyes of many. It was easy to see why in the Gators’ win over Purdue Sunday — Horford was all over the place defensively and showed a bruising low-post game that will be much more effective in the pros. At 6-foot-10, 245, he’ll probably fill out enough to be a center in today’s downsized NBA game.

Brewer is the forgotten man, but he’ll be the one scouts watch closest against a guard-oriented Butler team on Friday. Brewer’s allure is his ability to shut down guards defensively and jump passing lanes — at 6-foot-8, his quickness and wingspan make him reminiscent of a right-handed Stacey Augmon. Unfortunately, so does his jumper.

GREG ODEN AND MIKE CONLEY, JR., OHIO STATE: Oden entered the years as the no-brainer no. 1 pick, but Durant may have surpassed the Buckeyes’ big man. Oden’s effort against Xavier was solid but hardly dominant, and that’s been a consistent theme this year.

That said, post scoring is much more difficult in college than in the pros because there’s no illegal defense rule, and he’s been a major force defensively with 3.4 blocks a game. Oden should own the middle against Tennessee on Thursday, but we thought the same thing against Xavier. Since the Vols like to play bigs who can step out and hit the three, this could be a real test of his defensive mobility.

Oden’s fellow freshman, Conley, has a few negatives — he’s a small guard who is generously listed at 6-foot-1, 180 pounds, and he struggles shooting (31.1% on 3’s, 67.5% from the line). But his ability to penetrate and run the show will make him a firstrounder if he comes out, and his overtime takeover of the Xavier game did nothing to hurt his stock. Tomorrow, he’ll be counted on to break up Tennessee’s pressure and produce easy buckets.

JULIAN WRIGHT, KANSAS: The Jayhawks have a ridiculously talented sophomore class that also includes guards Mario Chalmers and Brandon Rush, but Wright should be the first of the bunch to jump to the pros. While his numbers don’t jump off the page, his ability to defend and handle the ball at 6-foot-9 has scouts salivating. Despite only being a middling scorer, his other skills are so coveted that he has a great shot at being a top five pick. But first he’ll need to lead Kansas past a pesky but overmatched Southern Illinois team and then prove his worth against Pitt or UCLA in the regional final.

JEFF GREEN AND ROY HIBBERT, GEORGETOWN: Green is a poor man’s version of Wright. He’s a big guy who can really move his feet and handle the ball, but he’s an inch shorter and a year older. He’s helped his stock by shooting better (37.6% on 3-pointers, 78.9% from the line), convincing most that he can play small forward in the pros. He should lead the Hoyas to a romp over Vandy before the real test on Sunday — a regional final showdown with North Carolina, with Green matched up against fellow lottery hopeful Brandan Wright.

Hibbert is a lock to be a firstrounder because you can’t teach 7-foot-2, but he also has a nice touch around the basket. The NBA is moving away from his type of game, but his ability to score down low and block shots still has value.

TYLER HANSBROUGH, BRANDAN WRIGHT, AND TY LAWSON, NORTH CAROLINA: Hansbrough is the Tar Heels’ star player and go-to guy, but he might only be their third-best NBA prospect. While his physical style has enough fans to get him picked in the first round, some wonder how his below-the-rim post game will translate to the pros.

Instead, Wright is the apple of scouts’ eye. While his game is far less developed — right now the dunk is his primary offensive maneuver — Wright conjures up the magic triumvirate of words to ensure a high lottery selection: “long,” “talented,” and “upside.” Some have him rated ahead of Noah, which I think is a mistake, but there’s no doubt that he’s the nation’s third-best freshman — and that’s quite a compliment considering Oden and Durant are in his class.

Lawson is the forgotten man here, since 5-foot-11-inch guards don’t set hearts racing, but his ability to push the ball upcourt and make shots has him in a dead heat with Conley as the nation’s top freshman point guard. He’ll also be the one most closely scrutinized on Friday, going against a pair of strong backcourt players in USC’s Gabe Pruitt and Nick Young.

ACIE LAW, TEXAS A&M: Put him in a workout with other lottery hopefuls and nobody will look twice at him. But Law has moved to the top of the point guard pile with a standout senior year filled with big shots. He plays like a college version of Sam Cassell, with good size for the position at 6-foot-3, a solid midrange game, and great feel for the game that overcomes average athleticism.

Law will get a good test against Memphis’s athletic backcourt Thursday in what is, hands down, the best matchup of the Sweet 16. While most of the other games should be routs, this one could easily be a Final Four game.

jhollinger@nysun.com


The New York Sun

© 2025 The New York Sun Company, LLC. All rights reserved.

Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. The material on this site is protected by copyright law and may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, cached or otherwise used.

The New York Sun

Sign in or  Create a free account

or
By continuing you agree to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use