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Election Handicapper Nate Silver’s Prediction Model Swings Towards Trump for First Time in Weeks

The recent swings in the forecast highlight the importance of Pennsylvania for the electoral college this cycle.

AP
Vice President Harris on July 22, 2024, and President Trump on July 26, 2024. AP
RUSSELL PAYNE
RUSSELL PAYNE

Election handicapper Nate Silver’s forecasting model is swinging in favor of President Trump in the post-convention pre-Labor Day stretch of the campaign.

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RUSSELL PAYNE
RUSSELL PAYNE

Mr. Payne is a political reporter at The New York Sun. He covers a broad range of topics including New York State and New York City.

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