Poll: Americans Hopeful Going Into Bush Second Term

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The New York Sun

WASHINGTON – A majority of Americans say they feel hopeful about President Bush’s second term, but those hopes are clouded by doubts about when the bloodshed in Iraq will end.


People say Iraq should be the president’s highest priority, according to an Associated Press poll that found that those surveyed are not optimistic a stable government will take hold there.


After winning re-election, Bush is preparing to pursue an ambitious agenda that includes efforts to change Social Security, federal tax laws, and medical malpractice awards.


Ahead of Bush’s inauguration on Thursday, six in 10 people said they feel hopeful about his second term and 47% said they were worried. Most said they were neither angry nor excited about his final four years in office.


Iraq was cited most often as the president’s highest priority, according to the poll conducted for the AP by Ipsos-Public Affairs. Some 53% of those questioned said it is unlikely that Iraq will have a stable government.


“Iraq remains the kind of thing that could completely take over the term, if the situation gets a lot worse,” said Charles Franklin, a political scientist at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. “It’s a good idea for the president to push new domestic proposals. He has to find a way to have the whole second term be about more than just Iraq.


More than 1,350 U.S. troops have died in Iraq. Deadly attacks by insurgents are on the rise as the January 30 elections near.


In a Washington Post interview published yesterday, Mr. Bush said the American military will pull out of Iraq “as quickly as possible,” but he is not endorsing Secretary of State Powell’s statement that troops could begin returning home this year.


“The way I would put it is, American troops will be leaving as quickly as possible, but they won’t be leaving until we have completed our mission,” Mr. Bush said.


“And part of the mission is to train Iraqis so they can fight the terrorists. And the sooner the Iraqis are prepared – better prepared, better equipped to fight – the sooner our troops will start coming home,” Mr. Bush said.


Mr. Powell told National Public Radio last week that he believes Americans could begin leaving Iraq this year as the Iraqis take on a larger security role. Mr. Powell, in his final days as the government’s chief diplomat, said he could not give a timeline when all the troops will be home.


Mr. Bush said the American military is “constantly assessing” if Iraqi security forces are up to the job, allowing America to begin pulling out. The president would not commit to significantly reduce troops by the end of his second term in 2009.


Mr. Bush is presiding over a nation much changed from the one in existence when he took office in January 2001. The September 11 attacks have changed everything, from the shape of government and the health of the economy to the conduct of U.S. foreign policy.


Half of those questioned in the AP poll said relations with other countries are worse than they were four years ago, while four in 10 said they are the same. One-quarter of Republicans said relations with other countries are worse.


Mr. Bush’s domestic wish list – with its focus on allowing private accounts in Social Security for younger Americans, limiting lawsuit awards, and overhauling the tax laws – could gain momentum from the increased GOP majorities in the House and Senate. But Republican lawmakers are showing a willingness to challenge Mr. Bush’s proposals.


Close behind Iraq in public concerns for Mr. Bush’s second term is the economy, which moved past terrorism as a top concern in AP polls in the past two months. Social Security was named as a top issue by only 9%, taxes by 2%.


After picking up in 2004, the economy probably will slow this year, influenced by rising interest rates, higher energy costs, and the lack of a new tax cut, economists say.


People were relatively optimistic about their own personal finances in the next year. Four in 10 said they expect their own situation to improve and a similar number said they expect it would stay the same the same, according to the poll of 1,000 adults that was taken January 10-12. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.


Almost two-thirds of those polled described Mr. Bush as likable, strong, and intelligent. A majority said he is dependable and honest.


“These times are probably the most stressful and insecure times in this country’s history,” said Evelyn Hicks, a Republican from Gainesville, Fla. “But I’m confident with my president. He’s genuine and has convictions. He’s not intimidated into trying to say the right things.”


The New York Sun

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