Why America Should Build Bridges to Turkey
This article is from the archive of The New York Sun before the launch of its new website in 2022. The Sun has neither altered nor updated such articles but will seek to correct any errors, mis-categorizations or other problems introduced during transfer.

ISTANBUL , Turkey — The Turks are getting cranky, and who can blame them? Since recovering from a fiscal crisis in 2001, the country has racked up one of the best growth rates in the world, and today it is the 17th largest economy. Last year the budget deficit fell to less than 1% of Gross Domestic Product, while inflation has been in single-digit territory for the past three years.
Notwithstanding these hard-won accomplishments, the newly elected but evidently still campaigning French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, recently rejected the idea of Turkish membership in the E.U. The rationale was weak at best: He argued that, geographically, Turkey is not really part of Europe. To the Turks, the argument was considered unfair, and it was described by various leaders as “repulsive” and, more privately, racist.
Why should we in America care about this Euro-squabble? First, because Turkey represents a real example of exactly what our government is so inexpertly striving for in the Middle East. Turkey is that secular Muslim democracy that we are so desperate to create in the region. It serves as a shining example of how religious, political, and economic freedom can prosper in an Islamic society, and how such a society can continue to embrace the West.
Secondly, Turkey is and always has been strategically situated between East and West. Its position today looms especially large as Russia gains a stranglehold on delivering natural gas to Europe. Various competing pipeline projects have been under consideration as Russia builds its export capacity. Turkey has been promoting the construction of a line called the Nabucco. The project is led by Austria, which by linking Caspian gas fields to Europe would have reduced the continent’s dependence on Russian exports.
It appears that this project has been undercut by the Russians; nonetheless, transport of energy through Turkey will continue to play an important role in the balance of power in the area. One only has to watch the endless stream of tankers filled with Russian oil sailing through the Bosphorus, which connects the Black and the Aegean seas, to realize how important good relations with Turkey might turn out to be.
Indeed, it would be impossible to view Turkey’s geographic situation as anything but strategic to America. It shares borders with Iraq, Syria, Georgia, and Iran. Of all these nations, Turkey is certainly the most stable and the most likely to be a reliable ally.
Because of its stability, Turkey is also fast becoming a significant trading partner and investment hub for the E.u. and America. Foreign investment into Turkey has jumped to more than $20 billion last year from less than $3 billion in 2004. The total this year is expected to show another sizeable gain.
This rise in foreign investment is offsetting a current account deficit that reflects rising imports, and a growing middle class. Nearly half of Turkey’s citizens are under the age of 25; unlike most European countries, Turkey’s population of roughly 73 million is growing, at a rate or more than 1% a year. Despite unemployment that is still around 10%, per capita GDP has more than doubled since 2002, scoring one of the highest growth rates in the world.
In other words, Turkey has made significant economic progress since its last fiscal crisis, a time that inspired a number of effective fiscal reforms. The government has also pushed social measures that have, for instance, significantly boosted the country’s literacy rate (now 96%) and education. Almost all children in the country now attend primary school. Furthermore, there are 35 private universities in Turkey, as well as 80 run by the state.
It is because Turkey has made such strides that the country is so angered by the shabby treatment recently doled out by the E.U. Turks point out that their country has a higher per capita GDP than Romania, which was recently admitted to the E.U. Productivity is significantly higher in Turkey’s agriculture, industrial, and services sectors. Although the current account deficit is now running above 6% of GDP, it compares favorably with several E.U. countries, including Bulgaria, Hungary, and Spain. In short, there is no good reason that Turkey should not be admitted to the E.U. except that France and Germany have large and occasionally troublesome Turkish immigrant populations.
On July 22, Turkey will elect a new parliament. Currently, the AKP party holds a majority of the seats, despite having received only about 35% of the vote in the last elections. The ruling party is identified as having an Islamic bent, which alarms the secularist middle class, and which could over time shift the country’s focus east instead of west.
A recent dispute over the installation of a new president stirred the secularist military to issue what was viewed as a warning to the AKP. Army leaders stated on their Web site that their mission was to protect the republic not only from outside threats, but also from those coming from within. This broadside caused shivers among the populace, as it served as a reminder of not-so-distant times when Turkey’s military has intervened to protect the government founded by Mustafa Kemal Ataturk in 1923.
Overall, the expectation is that the AKP will again win a majority, especially as elections have been called when many middle class Turks are on holiday outside the country. The party’s majority, however, could be reduced, resulting in a less effective coalition government.
The upcoming election is unlikely to create any real change in Turkey’s commitment to furthering its economic involvement with the West. Still, some further tilt toward nationalism is likely. This would be an excellent time for America to rebuild a relationship that has been frayed by Turkey’s resistance to American involvement in Iraq. Pushing Turkey closer to Russia, or any other of its neighbors, would surely not be in our country’s best interests.