Democrats, Blinded by Disdain of Trump, Ride Toward Midterms on Wave of False Optimism

It is not necessary to be a reactionary or a rabid partisan to dissent from the conventional wisdom that a Democratic wave will sweep the midterm elections. It is also assumed that it will doom the country to two years of failed attempted presidential impeachments and frenzied mudslinging in congressional committees, which will probably be replied to with a blizzard of indictments of Democratic worthies by the Justice Department. In the fury and venom of Trump-hate, which has been, along with truly absurd Islamo-Marxist nostrums, the only discernible offering of the Democratic Party for the last two years, the Democratic strategists may imagine that descent into political total war is an attractive option to the American electorate. It isn’t.Furthermore, election polling is unreliable and in the Trump era generally has been unusually inaccurate. The reason most frequently given for this is that Trump supporters are reluctant to answer pollsters’ questions. I think it’s more important that almost all the polls are affiliated with left-wing universities or media outlets and that they start with the result they desire and produce the statistical backing for it. Rasmussen and Trafalgar and one or two others are the only exceptions to this. President Trump’s public personality is an acquired taste, or not, but his current approval rating of slightly under 40 percent is probably an underestimation for the reasons given, and is approximately 15 percent higher than public approval of the Democratic Party generally.Republicans have a large financial advantage, which will presumably be applied as the election proceeds, to tout the remarkable record of achievement of the Trump administration. There are many millions who by the time they vote will be reminded of their gratitude for the Trump deposits on behalf of tens of millions of American young people, for the sharply lower crime rate, largely because of ending illegal immigration and deporting millions of illegal aliens, and for sharply lower drug prices. Some recognition will likely finally be accorded to the astonishingly high economic growth rate, commercial deregulation, liberation of commerce from the groaning shackles of the climate change obsession and the enormous and successful assault on wokeness, DEI, the intellectual corruption of the universities and unionized schools, which more accurately resemble day-care centers where young people are taught to hate America. The more the country sees of these Islamo-Marxist Democratic lunatics and less exotic extremists, the more enticing the Trump alternative, over-exposed though it has been, becomes. The endless recitation of fatuous platitudes about “a big tent” the Democrats enjoy inflicting, through such spokesmen as Senators Richard Blumenthal, Tim Kaine, Chris Murphy, Chris Van Hollen, Cory Booker, and Sheldon Whitehouse, the more accomplished and distinguished the Republicans will appear. After ten years constantly in front of the public, the country is tiring somewhat of Trump. Yet he does pierce the pomposity of the political class. The messaging by the administration has so far been rather inadequate. It remains a mystery why the president did not reduce gas prices, such as by simply rebating some of the state tax on gasoline temporarily. Yet there remains to him an overpowering argument that he has touched upon, but not with the emphasis it deserves, and will surely receive. He has made the point that temporarily elevated gasoline prices are a small cost to pay for keeping nuclear weapons out of the hands of the Iranian terrorist theocracy. The country, though, has not taken this on board. If Iran had a missile-deliverable nuclear weapon, it would be threatening all of the Middle East and Europe, and soon, even the cities of California. President Obama’s deal with Iran only imposed a delay of ten years before the world would welcome Iran to the nuclear club and Mr. Obama’s recent outrageous claim that Mr. Trump would not extract an arrangement from Iran better than he did, will in the balance of this election campaign be exposed as the monstrous falsehood that it is. The Democrats failed in their effort to sell Iran as a hopeless quagmire, a forever war, and even another Vietnam. Mr. Trump has rendered the Iranian currency worthless, forced inflation to vertiginous heights, caused the suspension of gasoline use throughout Iran and pushed that horrible regime to the verge of bankruptcy. This is the most one-sided war in history between serious combatants. The United States has lost only 13 combat-related deaths. Each one is a tragedy but that is the casualty rate of a live-fire exercise. It is no more than a bad weekend in Chicago.The polls do not reflect that the president has an overwhelming argument in favor of a Republican vote next month. Even delusional Democratic commentators should realize that this administration is not going to be defeated just because that is the tradition of all two-term administrations in the last hundred years except FDR.Mr. Trump is different, for better and for worse; his record of achievement is eminently defensible. It should weigh more heavily than the vagaries of his personality on the composition of the new Congress.

Democrats, Blinded by Disdain of Trump, Ride Toward Midterms on Wave of False Optimism

Democrats, Blinded by Disdain of Trump, Ride Toward Midterms on Wave of False Optimism

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