Democrats Eye Impeachment of Trump If They Prevail in Midterms, Yet President Holds a Profusion of Wild Cards

This has been the most difficult midterm election to predict with confidence in living memory. It is a truism that midterm elections normally are unfavorable to the administration and in two-term administrations the last time that the midterm election after six years for a reelected president was not unfavorable was in 1906 under Theodore Roosevelt. The only reason so much is being made of this possibility now is because it is assumed and has been informally confirmed for the Democrats that should they gain control of the House of Representatives they will attempt to impeach the president and use their committee chairmanships to go back to full-time mudslinging against him. No impeachment would have the slightest possibility of success and the administration could be expected to reply with intensified criminal prosecution of the sustained assault that the Democrats with some Never Trump collaboration, conducted against the guardrails of constitutional democracy in politicizing the intelligence agencies and the FBI in 2016 and going to demiurgic lengths to expand the 2020 electorate, raising concerns over ballot harvesting due to the casting millions of unverifiable mail-in ballots. There were an almost impossible 21 million more votes cast in 2020 than in 2016.President Biden talks to Representative James Clyburn on February 29, 2020 after winning the South Carolina primary. AP/Gerald HerbertWith only six weeks to go, there is an unusual profusion of wild cards. The economy appears to be growing at 5 percent. Investment in the country is at unprecedented levels and job creation is strong despite extraordinary technological efficiencies being continually introduced. The end of illegal immigration and the removal of more than a million illegal migrants have helped increase wages and that fact as well as the promotion of ununionized schools and the use of federal funding to de-woke the universities have all generated positive results. President Trump’s domestic agenda of deregulation and resurrection of the border and tax reductions has restored the United States as the economic powerhouse of the world and the old, Obama-Biden era talk of the inevitable emergence of Communist China as the world’s greatest economy is now scarcely within memory.The political crosscurrents have for some time been a contest between Democrats’ claims that Mr. Trump’s initiatives will produce catastrophes of Old Testament proportions and the president’s own claims that the same actions of his administration will elevate America to a state of prosperity, strength, and contentment beyond the previous dreams of mankind. A hiring sign is displayed at a retail store at Chicago. AP/Nam Y. HuhNot only can they not both be right; neither of them has much prospect of being right. Between the two, though, the endless predictions of disaster by Mr. Trump’s enemies, starting with Speaker Nancy Pelosi claiming in 2017 that the Trump tax cuts would be “the greatest disaster in history,” have failed more completely. The empty store shelves and skyrocketing inflation they predicted for Mr. Trump’s tariffs have not come to pass, though the president’s promises of vast revenue increases have, too, fallen well short of his predictions. The greatest current wild card is the Iran War. The Democrats, in their fervent ambition always to oppose everything that Mr. Trump does, are reduced to pretending that the Iran conflict is a stalemate of virtual Vietnam proportions, with no exit in sight, an open artery, a de facto moral victory for the Iranians, and both a forever war and a colossal and imminent manifestation of Mr. Trump’s hypocrisy and strategic blindness as it will force him either to acknowledge defeat and slink away, or violate his promise and spill American blood in unjustified quantities by putting boots on the ground. Given that 90 percent of the national political press will support the Democrats no matter what they do and say, the Democrats have done relatively well with these doom-laden prophecies, and some of them are still demanding that Mr. Trump return to negotiations, although the great majority of Americans concede that negotiating with Iran is a complete waste of time as any agreement that they make they will immediately violate.Iranians carry flags and pictures of Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, at Tehran, May 24, 2026. AP/Vahid SalemiYet the facts reflect that Mr. Trump is clearly winning this conflict. He has managed to conduct it so bloodlessly and so inexpensively in ordnance that all the usual obstructionist nonsense about the War Powers Act has died out and he is somewhat successful with his contention that it is not really a war. The abiding mystery is why he has not rebated some of the state sales tax on gasoline to address the one political soft point the war has created. Yet he is getting approximately half the normal amount of oil and other exports out of the Persian Gulf and is successfully strangling the Iranians at almost no cost in casualties and not an onerous financial cost.The record of elections shows that successful military or strategic activity just before the balloting is a great vote-getter. President Truman avoided the usual midterm setback in 1950 because of General Douglas MacArthur’s successful landing at Inchon and destruction of the North Korean army. President Kennedy did moderately well in the 1962 midterms on the heels of his successful management of the Cuban missile crisis. Mr. Trump almost certainly possesses the ability to shake the Islamic Republic of Iran almost to the ground with no or minimal casualties before the election. He also has the ability, as mentioned above, to reduce the price of gasoline at the pump. He is picking up about ten electoral districts by counter-gerrymandering and he has a considerable advantage in election funds and the ability to pin the Islamo-Marxist stigma on a number of the Democratic candidates with a vengeance.Mr. Trump has been one of the most formidable figures in the modern history of American politics. This is his last election and it would be a mistake to underestimate him now.

Democrats Eye Impeachment of Trump If They Prevail in Midterms, Yet President Holds a Profusion of Wild Cards

Democrats Eye Impeachment of Trump If They Prevail in Midterms, Yet President Holds a Profusion of Wild Cards

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