Inflation Jumps Again in February in Latest Sign of Elevated Price Pressures

WASHINGTON — Consumer prices picked up last month, signaling inflation’s persistent challenge for the Federal Reserve and for President Biden’s re-election campaign, both of which are counting on a steady easing of price pressures this year.Prices rose 0.4 percent between January and February, a pickup from the previous month’s figure of 0.3 percent. Compared with 12 months earlier, consumer prices rose 3.2 percent last month, faster than January’s 3.1 percent annual pace.Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so called “core” prices also climbed 0.4 percent between January and February, matching the previous month’s increase and a faster pace than is consistent with the Fed’s 2 percent target. Core inflation is watched especially closely because it typically provides a better read of where inflation is likely headed.Voter perceptions of inflation are sure to occupy a central place in this year’s presidential election. Despite a healthy job market and a record-high stock market, polls show that many Americans blame Mr. Biden for the surge in consumer prices that began in 2021. Though inflationary pressures have significantly eased, average prices remain well above where they stood three years ago.Overall inflation has dropped from its peak of 9.1 percent in June 2022, though it’s now easing more slowly than it did last spring and summer. The prices of some goods, from appliances to furniture to used cars, are actually falling after clogged supply chains during the pandemic had sent prices soaring higher. There are more new cars on dealer lots and electronics on store shelves.By contrast, prices for restaurant meals, car repairs, hospital care and other services are still rising faster than they did before the pandemic. Car insurance has shot up, reflecting rising costs for auto repair and replacement. And after having sharply raised pay for nurses and other in-demand staff, hospitals are passing their higher wage costs on to patients in the form of higher prices.Voter perceptions of inflation are sure to occupy a central place in this year’s presidential election. Though inflationary pressures have significantly eased, average prices remain about far above where they stood three years ago.In Mr. Biden’s State of the Union speech last week, he highlighted steps he has taken to reduce costs, like capping the price of insulin for Medicare patients. The president also criticized many large companies for engaging in “price gouging” and so-called “shrinkflation,” in which a company shrinks the amount of product inside a package rather than raising the price.“Too many corporations raise prices to pad their profits, charging more and more for less and less,” Mr. Biden said.The Fed chairman, Jerome Powell, signaled in congressional testimony last week that the central bank is getting closer to cutting rates. After meeting in January, Fed officials said in a statement that they needed “greater confidence” that inflation was steadily falling to their 2 percent target level. Since then, several of the Fed’s policymakers have said they believe prices will keep declining. One reason, they suggested, is that consumers are increasingly pushing back against higher prices by seeking out cheaper alternatives.Most economists expect the Fed’s first rate cut to occur in June, though May is also possible. When the Fed cuts its benchmark rate, over time it reduces borrowing costs for mortgages, car loans, credit cards and business loans.One factor that could keep inflation elevated is the still-healthy economy. Though most economists had expected a recession to occur last year, hiring and growth were strong and remain healthy. The economy expanded 2.5 percent last year and could grow at about the same pace in the first three months of this year, according to the Federal Reserve’s Atlanta branch.Last week, the Labor Department said employers added a robust 275,000 jobs in February, the latest in a streak of solid hiring gains, and the unemployment rate stayed below 4 percent for the 25th straight month. That is the longest such streak since the 1960s.Still, the unemployment rate rose to 3.9 percent from 3.7 percent, and wage growth slowed. Both trends could make the Fed feel more confident that the economy is cooling, which could help keep inflation falling and lead the central bank to begin cutting rates.Associated Press

Inflation Jumps Again in February in Latest Sign of Elevated Price Pressures

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