Intelligence-Reform Reform

There was a new report calling for reform of US intelligence last week. It contradicts the last report calling for reform of US intelligence. The last one wanted to centralize intelligence, which has since been done. The new one wants to decentralize intelligence. Good luck getting anyone’s attention with intelligence-reform reform three weeks after the last go-round. If Sandy Berger stuffed every post-9/11 report down his pants, waddled off, cut them up in his kitchen and returned them randomly pasted together, I doubt it would make any difference.Meanwhile, back in the real world, the glass in Iraq is three-quarters full, which is why stories on the subject are buried so deep in the paper they might as well be in Sandy’s gusset. Saddam’s old prison state is now the first Arab country with a non-Arab head of state: a Kurd, Jalal Talabani. When you’re trying to make sense of the bewildering array of Iraqi politicians who prospered in the January elections, a good rule of thumb is: chances are they’re guys who’ve been stiffed by the CIA. President-to-be Talabani fell out with them a decade ago, when they pulled the plug on a US-backed insurrection at 48 hours’ notice and failed to pay the late cancellation fee. Mr. Talabani was part of the Kurdish delegation which had a “secret” meeting with CIA honchos in April 2002, in which the drollest exchange came when the Kurds expressed skepticism as to whether the officials present really represented the United States government.And who can blame them for wondering? I wrote a couple of years back that the CIA now functions in the same relation to President Bush as Pakistan’s ISI does to General Musharraf. In both cases, before the chief executive makes a routine request of his intelligence agency, he has to figure out whether they’re going to use it as an opportunity to set him up, and if so how. For Musharraf, the problem is the significant faction in the ISI that would like to kill him. Fortunately for Bush, if anyone at the CIA launched a plot to kill him, they’d probably take out Mr. G. W. Bish, who runs a feed store in Idaho.The question is whether a change of management (from George Tenet to Porter Goss) can change an entire culture. Consider, for example, the case of Ahmed Chalabi, head of the Iraqi National Congress. In the early Nineties, the CIA set up the INC with Chalabi at the helm. Then they fell out with him and decided they preferred a rival group, the Iraqi National Accord, set up by Britain’s MI6 and headed by an ex-Saddamite general whose plan to “liberate” Iraq involved getting rid of the big guy but then keeping the Baathist state pretty much intact. Well, fair enough. We’re all entitled to change our minds, and it’s just about conceivable the CIA “analysts” genuinely thought the Saddamite coup approach had the better chance of success. But what’s harder to excuse is the energy they devoted – for the best part of the subsequent decade – to trashing their own creation. Hardly a week went by without assiduous feeding of anti-INC stories to the press. Here’s page 3 of The Washington Post on April 21st 1999:“Congress, Candidate To Overthrow Saddam Hussein: Ahmed Chalabi Has Virtually No Other Backing.”That’s quite the sub-head. No quote-marks; no “Chalabi Is Said To Have ‘Virtually No Other Backing.’ ” And that’s six years ago: everyone else in Washington was still in impeachment mode, but the CIA would have fingered Chalabi for Monica’s dress if they could have got away with it.Then September 11th happened. In the week afterwards, a handful of us called for resignations from the various Federal agencies that flopped out big-time that day: FAA, INS, FBI – and CIA. 9/11 wasn’t a “tragedy”; it was, as Lord Carrington said of the Argentine invasion of the Falklands, a national “humiliation.” He said that when he resigned as Foreign and Commonwealth Secretary, incidentally. “There has been a British humiliation. I ought to take responsibility for it,” he explained. “I was wrong in the assessment of what they were doing.”But, if it’s too much to expect America’s governing class to take responsibility for their own wrong assessments, you’d think they might have been sufficiently chastened by the events of September 11th to moderate at least their worst instincts. Instead, the CIA simply carried on business as usual – of which their ever more deranged Chalabi-bashing is merely the most obvious example. As we now know, it is not true to say “Ahmed Chalabi Has Virtually No Backing.” He came out pretty near the top in the January elections and he’s a big player in Iraqi politics. But the CIA version – that he’s some snake-oil salesman who pulled the wool over the Bush Administration’s eyes even though he has no support inside his own country – is now unshakeable. Only the other day, Maureen Dowd, The New York Times’ elderly schoolgirl, fell back for the umpteenth time on one of her lamest tropes:“Ahmad Chalabi conned his neocon pals, thinking he could run Iraq if he gave the Bush administration the smoking gun it needed to sell the war.”I don’t know whether the CIA ever thinks through the implications of its own spin, but which reflects more poorly on them? The claim, which is now demonstrably absurd, that he has no support inside Iraq? Or the notion that some no-account schlub, a British subject living in exile whom the Company plucked from obscurity and created a phony resistance movement for him to head, somehow managed to hoodwink the government of the world’s superpower over eight years of objections from its own intelligence agency?Even before the latest budget-bloating “reforms,” the US government was spending $30 billion annually on intelligence, and in return its intelligence agencies got everything wrong. British and French intelligence also get a lot of things wrong, but they get them wrong on far smaller budgets. One of the great sub-plots of the post-9/11 world is the uselessness of “experts,” the guys who get unlimited budgets to run 24/7 agencies devoted to their areas of expertise. What’s startling about the glimpses we get of CIA operations – that red-hot Presidential briefing from August 2001 the 9/11 Commission went bananas over, the fraudulent narcissist Joseph C. Wilson IV’s non-fact-finding mission to Niger – is how generalized it all is: anybody who watches cable news or reads an occasional foreign paper would know as much.How about if that $30 billion was allocated to, say, a program for subsidized bicycling helmets for grade-schoolers or some other Federal boondoggle, and they bulldozed Langley, and gave the CIA director 20,000 bucks to put all his agency’s global “analysis” up on a blog – walkingbackthecat.com – and invite comments from readers around the world? It couldn’t possibly be less informed than the CIA’s decades-long record of incompetence in the Middle East. US intelligence needs a fresh start, and short of buying ol’ Sandypants a larger pair of trousers and getting him to smuggle out every single classified document, it’s not clear how it’s ever going to get it.

Intelligence-Reform Reform

Intelligence-Reform Reform

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