Risk of Blue Wave Ebbing as Tumultuous Midterm Campaign Season Draws to a Close

Though a reasonably risk-averse commentator, after closely following the tumultuous campaign for the midterm elections on November 3, I am now possessed by an irresistible compulsion to rush out on a limb: the blue wave is a fraud and the Republicans will perform sufficiently well that the endangered minority of observers who have evaded the pale of rabid partisanship will see the election as a moral victory for President Trump. The crowds he is pulling and the agility with which he addresses them have reestablished his overwhelming preeminence in the contemporary American political theater. The enormous number of his detractors and the fervor of their sociopathic hatred have not much abated, but he is the president, unflinching and effective, the ultimate outsider of American political history, and in this role he is invincible.The Democrats and their tethered robotic lackeys in the national political media, their impeachments and indictments and stonewalls of deprecation and misinformation, and even what could be interpreted as incitements to assassination all having failed, they have spent the summer and autumn sustaining themselves in the pretended confidence of electoral victory at last. A midterm set-back after six years for a twice-elected president has afflicted every such president since U.S. Grant in 1874, except for the always invincible Franklin Roosevelt. It is not the end of the world and did not prevent President Reagan from making great progress towards the end of the Cold War with Mikhail Gorbachev. Yet this has become the last-trench defense of the Trump-haters who split their sides laughing when he came down the escalator of the Trump Tower eleven years ago and have conducted the greatest dirty tricks operation in American political history ever since. President Trump, speaks during a campaign rally at Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum on October 21, 2024 at Greenville, North Carolina. Win McNamee/Getty ImagesNone of the polls conducted by or on behalf of left-wing universities and press organizations can be trusted and the others do not indicate a likelihood of Democratic gains in the Senate. It is conceivable that the Democrats could win the House and deadlock the legislative program, but not compromise the president’s status in foreign policy and as commander-in-chief, which promise to be his principal preoccupations in his last two years in office. The Democrats, in their desperation, with the unwitting assistance of the lobotomized and Paleolithic Republican isolationists, whose hearts in domestic matters are in the right place, are demanding a cut-and-run end to the Iran War. Despite the administration’s seriously inadequate messaging on this subject, a sufficient number of Americans sees that an extra dollar for a gallon of gas for a few more months is not a high price to pay to keep nuclear weapons out of the hands of the criminal heresy clinging desperately to power in Iran.Mr. Trump is an unwavering upholder of the consensus established by FDR that there must be an American presence in Western Europe and East Asia to prevent the entire Eurasian landmass from falling into the hands of democracy’s enemies and every generation endangering the Americas. He established a durable consensus firmly based in strategic insight, that the United States must not run the risk, as he put it, that “We in the Americas would be prisoners in our hemisphere, fed through the bars of our cages by the unpitying masters of other continents.” Even some of the president’s genuine friends and even at times the vice president, seem not to have grasped that fact. Despite the disaster in Vietnam, many mistakes by many administrations in the Middle East, the debacle in Afghanistan and the terrible failure in Iraq, the Roosevelt consensus remains firmly defended by Republicans, even as FDR’s own party has disintegrated into a ragged coalition of guilt-mongers, nihilists, and a detritus of hacks and decayed servitors. Senate candidates James Talarico in Texas, Troy Jackson in Maine, Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, and Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota are all trying to unsay most of what they’ve said for the last five or more years. It won’t work, and neither will that most ancient and hilariously outdated trick of trying to distract the voters with a candidate with the same name as the opposing incumbent — it is as if Boss Tweed has had a second coming in Alaska. The country sees the declining crime rate, the world leading economic growth, the end of the talk of Communist China surpassing the United States, and the imminent possibility of victory in the war on terror and a plausible peace in the Middle East because of the pummeling of Iran at the cost of the lives of fewer American servicemen than the number of people who die of gunshot wounds on a bad weekend at Chicago.We are entering the twilight of the Trump Era. He is like a brilliant circus performer regarded with derision as he clowns and performs tricks but as he departs the arena, he will be seen to have reoriented America to the tangible benefit of the great majority of its people. They see what is happening in Europe, they see Trump supporters sweeping the elections across Latin America. And they see the frail and palsied former presidents, Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, quavering relics of the wasted years between Reagan and Trump. There will be a blue wave eventually, but not now, not soon, and not led by anybody who is visible today.

Risk of Blue Wave Ebbing as Tumultuous Midterm Campaign Season Draws to a Close

Risk of Blue Wave Ebbing as Tumultuous Midterm Campaign Season Draws to a Close

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